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Moats On Sale

These firms have an edge on the competition and look to be trading below their fair value.
This list features stocks that meet three criteria. First, they are trading at a discount to Morningstar analysts’ estimates of their fair value (in other words, 4- or 5- star stocks). The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with that stock’s Morningstar fair value estimate. Second, companies on this list are also rated as having an economic moat. Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. We think wide-moat firms’ advantages are the most sustainable (20 years or more, in our estimation), while narrow-moat firms should keep their edge for at least 10 years. Third, we wanted companies with a Fair Value Uncertainty that is Medium or lower. We are more confident in our fair value estimates for companies rated Low or Medium.
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Name
Ticker
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Price/Fair Value
APA GroupAPAJFNarrow0.91
LPX KgcVNWVJWide0.92
ZPZ Ppc ZFGRXWCDHDWide0.92
BT&C PxbZNarrow0.74
Vmf Znttbygz & Qwxjqrwqk MWRDWide0.82
Rszrycyk RNLQFKWide0.86
Prkcczm Mgsyhk ZRGRMNarrow0.87
Rkmwxf Txrgh HffwzgJWWide0.89
Gqxgl VX CFNBKYWide0.68
Tkhtg BNNCFNNarrow0.94
Phbgx PSB Qtdzplvm RblwsnwHCGHFNarrow0.88
Hbrxxjr Dckvf ZFB wb JG Nymhfxcl Jcyrts - Fzcnj YXBCTXNarrow0.87
Qtbcnsny Sqlsw NybdxrPRFNarrow0.85
Mnxyqcpj Wbgfn Ztzqf Wd PsnwsNJZNarrow0.96
Htwvcm KPKHRGNarrow0.90
Kcsyprts-Xdwjf DjQlt BX/GH RBRWide0.66
Xfvm Pzbzvgnzkty KHK bl LSYQJYDHFFWide0.95
Xvncnblb Jrzprdbsnvqsd Rrgnwvf LrhcgMXKWSWide0.94
Mtsnbrky Vtkvzlkvbxgmd Ctmmnks Sxh SSVRFDCRRWide0.94
Zkpwnwl Jwjznkdj BxdZJQKNarrow0.90
Ydmzjjgp GxWXRBPWide0.79
TYD QwrFXVNarrow0.76
GPP BbkslSGNCNarrow0.93
Nnqfm Lcnzvj Tqsmlst Rqstsctryf LW FDKPPNKXGNarrow0.89
Jhsn kl QhtqnmNGNarrow0.92
Qmyy xx Pjzs VtddzwxlrSXHTNarrow0.91
Vrkp DJ VWNRZWYMYYNarrow0.78
Zbwwdg Sfwfrmrjp &MFYNarrow0.73
Mnlndyskx Rpyfgnzs Zbz Kxkzc KMVY.YWide0.95
Hfjqqjgfj Rtsvgjln Ttc NpzrNQG.RWWide0.95
Kqbzjyb-Jwjgz Mhsklp YyVBHCWide0.70
Vmblxrr Wxyclksq Slyprbh ZSL TWLWBGNMWide0.61
Ppkvf-Rvvktv Tvnh Cjhrvwpgwk Wjw -W- Djn BrmPX.SWide0.80
TYT k.tmRBDDWNarrow0.91
RWY s.f TTBLTFLPJNarrow0.91
BYB Wwqzbq XnyxcmFMQNarrow0.60
Vzkllswf Rknc RtHVHWide0.74
XnhphgPbsk Cdkclkysph Dmrlwnbzcn TjjZQXPNarrow0.82
Xbqdpwm CkzpjnTFNarrow0.82
LltpgxVxykj Gmmqmr GmNRNarrow0.95
Rjffsq YGKWide0.82
Pbngsb Kbghytqhvglxpn Szmjkbgg NGBQNarrow0.85
Qllwyszgd Bglxxmpysw Jsgtqgbgd Cvft Ccccv ZDBRWRMNarrow0.71
Bcqwtfgmg N/Q FFWYWide0.88
Zgrjqhd Xflq SgsrxWLCDSMWide0.69
Yttgrhy DwPXLGWide0.81
Fnhvy Dgkhvj WBKDNarrow0.74
VKX Qszxlw JSCNarrow0.95
Pvhfv Szpdvxqtqvm Dhk PZTNQHQCNarrow
Cgmlsdzd Vdyhnyq HL BXHDBKTLKNarrow0.86
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List Criteria

4- or 5-Star Stocks

The stock star rating is calculated by comparing a stock’s current market price with Morningstar’s estimate of the stock’s fair value. The bigger the discount, the higher the star rating. Four- and 5-star ratings mean the stock is trading meaningfully below fair value, while a 3-star rating means it’s trading near fair value, and 1- and 2-star stocks are trading meaningfully above fair value.

Wide or Narrow Moat Stocks

Morningstar’s ratings for economic moat (a term originally coined by Warren Buffett) capture how likely a company is to keep competitors at bay for an extended period. One of the keys to finding superior long-term investments is buying companies that will be able to stay one step ahead of their competitors, and it’s this characteristic that Morningstar is trying to capture with the economic moat rating, which will be either wide, narrow, or none for stocks under coverage.

Medium or Low Fair Value Uncertainty

The Fair Value Uncertainty rating captures a Morningstar stock analyst’s degree of confidence about his or her fair value estimate for a stock. Our analysts score companies’ Fair Value Uncertainty (Low, Medium, High, or Extreme) based on sales predictability, operating leverage, financial leverage, and exposure to contingent events. As the Uncertainty rating goes up, so does the discount to fair value we require in order for a company to earn a 4- or 5-star rating, given the lower confidence in the precision of our fair value estimate.